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Red52
960926.8
81735.5
602412.7
Blue31
96905.7
90256.3
95658.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3127102040505231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.4
9.911.3
Auto13.1
Teleop12.6
End1.1
red by 18.2
9565
#30
8.60.7
7.77.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Second
6024
#28
12.71.4
10.812.1
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
red by 6.4
9025
#40
6.30.7
8.98.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
8173
#29
5.51.4
6.98.3
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
blue by 0.2
9690
#49
5.70.7
8.37.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed