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Red82
83086.5
744419.9
290524.9
Blue22
81587.8
767212.7
36468.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502304060808222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.6
18.720.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 12.2
7672
#39
12.70.2
9.79.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Second
7444
#13
19.91.6
13.915.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 11.5
3646
#22
8.40.2
7.16.9
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
8308
#20
6.52.2
9.711.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 1.3
8158
#41
7.80.2
7.27.0
Auto5.7
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed