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Red54
683825.0
752217.0
92816.2
Blue38
687411.0
808419.7
90706.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393625304550555438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.7
17.117.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End0.6
red by 5.3
8084
#10
19.70.4
15.515.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
7522
#18
17.00.9
10.010.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1
red by 6.0
6874
#45
11.00.6
8.69.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Third
9281
#48
6.20.9
7.88.7
Auto0.7
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 0.3
9070
#44
6.60.6
8.99.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed