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Red83
969217.0
94905.8
821428.0
Blue47
960926.8
95918.9
82209.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3530102040506070808347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.02.4
17.620.1
Auto13.3
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 1.2
26.82.1
11.313.4
Auto13.1
Teleop12.6
End1.1
Second
17.02.4
9.211.6
Auto7.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 7.5
8220
#34
9.62.1
8.710.8
Auto6.0
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Third
9490
#24
5.82.4
4.36.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 3.1
9591
#47
8.92.1
8.010.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed