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Red69
290524.9
923119.4
90256.3
Blue52
703512.2
80429.2
708614.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801006952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.4
20.321.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 10.1
7086
#23
14.71.3
9.410.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Second
19.41.4
12.013.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 7.2
7035
#16
12.21.3
8.610.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Third
9025
#40
6.32.2
8.210.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 2.9
8042
#42
9.21.3
10.011.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed