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Red80
952312.9
683825.0
815925.6
Blue12
83086.5
96258.1
92474.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45260204060808012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.63.0
12.415.4
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 17.5
9625
#36
8.11.0
9.78.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Second
25.02.0
17.819.7
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End0.6
red by 18.5
8308
#20
6.51.5
11.910.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Third
9523
#26
12.93.0
8.011.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.7
red by 8.0
9247
#32
4.91.0
4.03.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed