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Red58
944710.4
641717.8
642923.3
Blue47
744419.9
81587.8
643010.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36342530404550555847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.7
15.517.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 3.4
7444
#13
19.91.0
15.516.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Second
6417
#27
17.81.7
9.811.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 6.9
6430
#37
10.91.6
8.410.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
Third
9447
#12
10.41.7
7.28.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
red by 2.6
8158
#41
7.81.6
7.08.6
Auto5.7
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed