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Red14
75755.7
687411.0
767212.7
Blue45
85007.7
36468.4
877710.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320102040506070801445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7672
#39
12.71.2
9.58.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 2.1
8777
#19
10.61.5
11.39.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Second
6874
#45
11.01.2
9.27.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
red by 2.6
3646
#22
8.41.5
6.95.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
7575
#33
5.71.2
6.35.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 2.0
8500
#50
7.70.9
9.99.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned