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Red39
855717.6
36468.4
705011.5
Blue66
606413.4
969217.0
805811.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363620304050603966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#38
17.60.3
15.615.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
red by 0.6
17.01.4
11.613.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Second
7050
#17
11.50.6
11.011.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 1.9
6064
#11
13.41.4
11.112.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
3646
#22
8.40.6
5.46.0
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 2.6
8058
#15
11.01.0
10.411.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned