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Red22
85007.7
588311.1
958310.1
Blue63
641717.8
960926.8
81587.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313802060801002263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5883
#35
11.10.7
9.99.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
blue by 15.7
26.83.3
13.416.7
Auto13.1
Teleop12.6
End1.1
Second
9583
#21
10.10.7
9.89.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
blue by 7.7
6417
#27
17.83.3
11.514.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Third
8500
#50
7.70.4
9.08.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 0.1
8158
#41
7.83.3
8.611.8
Auto5.7
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed