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Red61
815925.6
808419.7
81735.5
Blue41
687411.0
642923.3
82209.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443901001502006141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.3
15.416.7
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 2.3
23.30.6
17.317.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
Second
8084
#10
19.70.8
15.816.6
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 8.7
6874
#45
11.00.6
7.98.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Third
8173
#29
5.51.3
7.99.3
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
blue by 4.1
8220
#34
9.60.6
10.811.4
Auto6.0
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed