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Red26
767212.7
703512.2
41916.0
Blue28
96258.1
94649.5
95658.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27245101520303540452628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7672
#39
12.70.2
8.38.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 3.2
9464
#31
9.50.6
7.58.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Second
7035
#16
12.20.2
10.010.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
red by 3.6
9565
#30
8.60.6
6.36.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
4191
#46
6.00.1
5.96.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End0.5
blue by 2.1
9625
#36
8.10.4
8.79.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed