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Red33
90256.3
80429.2
969217.0
Blue30
946914.7
92474.9
94362.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4218060803330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.01.3
13.011.7
Auto7.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 2.3
9469
#14
14.70.1
11.411.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Second
8042
#42
9.21.3
11.310.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 4.4
9247
#32
4.90.1
3.03.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.1
Third
9025
#40
6.31.3
10.49.1
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 3.7
9436
#52
2.70.1
4.74.8
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed