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Red42
641717.8
588311.1
36468.4
Blue23
96258.1
41916.0
81735.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34260102030405060704223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#27
17.80.8
14.815.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 9.7
9625
#36
8.10.7
9.08.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Second
5883
#35
11.10.8
9.19.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
red by 5.1
4191
#46
6.00.7
6.05.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Third
3646
#22
8.40.8
6.06.8
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
red by 2.9
8173
#29
5.51.1
9.38.1
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed