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Red73
815925.6
642923.3
923119.4
Blue55
767212.7
958310.1
698521.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55382060801007355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.62.8
16.719.5
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 4.6
21.00.7
18.619.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Second
23.32.8
17.820.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 10.6
7672
#39
12.71.1
8.59.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
19.41.7
13.214.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 9.3
9583
#21
10.11.1
9.110.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned