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Red47
708614.7
808419.7
643010.9
Blue27
855717.6
85007.7
606413.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44402030506070804727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8084
#10
19.70.5
16.617.1
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 2.2
8557
#38
17.60.7
15.915.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Second
7086
#23
14.70.8
13.614.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.3
End1.2
red by 1.3
6064
#11
13.41.1
12.511.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
6430
#37
10.90.8
9.510.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
red by 3.2
8500
#50
7.70.7
8.67.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed