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Red35
705011.5
946914.7
944710.4
Blue32
703512.2
952312.9
752217.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34362025304045503532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9469
#14
14.70.2
11.511.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
blue by 2.3
7522
#18
17.00.9
11.610.7
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1
Second
7050
#17
11.50.2
11.511.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 1.4
9523
#26
12.90.9
10.910.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
9447
#12
10.40.2
8.48.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 1.8
7035
#16
12.20.9
10.29.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed