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Red8
95918.9
92816.2
83086.5
Blue75
960926.8
75755.7
94649.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033010204050607080875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9591
#47
8.92.2
10.88.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 17.9
26.82.8
16.719.5
Auto13.1
Teleop12.6
End1.1
Second
8308
#20
6.52.2
8.76.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 3.0
9464
#31
9.52.8
8.110.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
9281
#48
6.22.2
8.15.9
Auto0.7
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 0.5
7575
#33
5.72.8
5.07.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed