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Red38
80429.2
767212.7
683825.0
Blue42
969217.0
64157.5
642923.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464202060801003842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.5
23.222.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End0.6
red by 1.7
23.30.2
20.620.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
Second
7672
#39
12.70.9
9.68.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
blue by 4.4
17.00.2
11.711.6
Auto7.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
8042
#42
9.20.9
8.27.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 1.8
6415
#25
7.50.2
6.16.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed