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Red54
944710.4
703512.2
821428.0
Blue41
708614.7
855717.6
588311.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47432030607080905441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.3
24.626.0
Auto13.3
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 10.4
8557
#38
17.60.0
15.215.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Second
7035
#16
12.21.3
9.310.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 2.5
7086
#23
14.70.1
14.414.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Third
9447
#12
10.41.3
8.29.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 0.7
5883
#35
11.10.1
9.99.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed