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Red30
643010.9
687411.0
95918.9
Blue40
95658.6
83086.5
946914.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526010203040506070803040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#45
11.00.0
11.311.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
blue by 3.7
9469
#14
14.70.4
11.311.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Second
6430
#37
10.90.0
10.310.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
red by 2.3
9565
#30
8.60.4
6.56.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
9591
#47
8.90.0
8.68.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
red by 2.4
8308
#20
6.50.4
6.56.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned