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Red40
877710.6
290524.9
81587.8
Blue38
41916.0
96905.7
808419.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49300204060801004038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.1
23.122.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 5.1
8084
#10
19.70.1
17.117.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
8777
#19
10.60.2
8.88.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 4.5
4191
#46
6.00.1
5.35.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Third
8158
#41
7.80.2
10.410.1
Auto5.7
Teleop1.6
End0.6
red by 2.2
9690
#49
5.70.2
6.66.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed