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Red35
602412.7
606413.4
95025.9
Blue58
641717.8
815925.6
75755.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060801001203558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6064
#11
13.40.4
11.411.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 12.2
25.60.6
19.520.1
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Second
6024
#28
12.70.4
12.512.9
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
blue by 5.1
6417
#27
17.80.6
15.616.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Third
9502
#51
5.90.4
7.57.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End0.4
red by 0.2
7575
#33
5.70.6
7.88.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed