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Red71
642923.3
855717.6
767212.7
Blue16
94362.7
952312.9
94905.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541804060807116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
20.520.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 10.4
9523
#26
12.90.5
11.410.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Second
8557
#38
17.60.2
15.215.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
red by 11.7
9490
#24
5.80.5
4.54.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Third
7672
#39
12.70.3
8.78.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 10.0
9436
#52
2.70.5
4.84.2
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed