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Red28
81735.5
805811.0
83086.5
Blue26
94689.8
944710.4
80429.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2928101520253540452826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8058
#15
11.00.2
10.710.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 0.5
9447
#12
10.40.0
9.69.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Second
8308
#20
6.50.3
6.97.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 3.3
9468
#43
9.80.0
8.99.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End0.1
Third
8173
#29
5.50.3
7.88.1
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
blue by 3.8
8042
#42
9.20.0
7.37.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed