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Red58
698521.0
643010.9
82209.6
Blue39
683825.0
81587.8
588311.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4348203040607080905839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.2
19.619.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
blue by 4.0
25.00.2
22.622.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End0.6
Second
6430
#37
10.90.4
10.39.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 0.2
5883
#35
11.10.4
9.99.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Third
8220
#34
9.60.4
9.79.3
Auto6.0
Teleop2.3
End1.3
red by 1.7
8158
#41
7.80.4
10.19.7
Auto5.7
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed