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Red68
808419.7
958310.1
944710.4
Blue25
95918.9
90256.3
36468.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432301030506070806825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8084
#10
19.70.4
17.317.7
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 10.8
9591
#47
8.91.0
8.67.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Second
9447
#12
10.40.7
9.610.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
red by 2.0
3646
#22
8.40.9
7.56.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
9583
#21
10.10.7
9.810.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 3.8
9025
#40
6.31.0
7.56.5
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed