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Red58
94905.8
642923.3
703512.2
Blue11
75755.7
83086.5
96905.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462004060805811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.8
20.221.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 16.8
8308
#20
6.51.5
7.25.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Second
7035
#16
12.20.8
12.713.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
red by 6.5
7575
#33
5.71.5
5.94.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Third
9490
#24
5.80.8
5.66.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.0
red by 0.2
9690
#49
5.71.5
7.86.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed