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Red45
90706.6
643010.9
855717.6
Blue46
81735.5
767212.7
290524.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31460204060804546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#38
17.61.0
15.016.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 7.3
24.90.3
23.023.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Second
6430
#37
10.91.6
9.911.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 1.8
7672
#39
12.70.5
8.48.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
9070
#44
6.61.6
4.66.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 1.1
8173
#29
5.50.5
8.18.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed