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Red22
602412.7
85007.7
94362.7
Blue39
92816.2
946914.7
588311.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320102040502239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#28
12.70.8
13.612.8
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
blue by 2.0
9469
#14
14.71.1
12.713.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Second
8500
#50
7.70.5
8.17.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 3.4
5883
#35
11.11.1
9.510.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Third
9436
#52
2.70.8
3.62.9
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 3.6
9281
#48
6.21.1
6.47.5
Auto0.7
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed