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Red96
642923.3
588311.1
83086.5
Blue11
95025.9
92816.2
90256.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442104060809611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.9
21.021.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 16.9
9025
#40
6.31.3
7.56.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Second
5883
#35
11.10.9
10.511.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
red by 4.9
9281
#48
6.21.3
7.56.2
Auto0.7
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Third
8308
#20
6.50.9
5.76.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.2
red by 0.7
9502
#51
5.91.3
7.15.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed