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Red92
92474.9
36468.4
708614.7
Blue28
643010.9
96905.7
94905.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252704060801001201409228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7086
#23
14.71.8
12.914.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.3
End1.2
red by 3.8
6430
#37
10.90.6
11.510.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
Second
3646
#22
8.41.8
6.68.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
red by 2.6
9490
#24
5.80.6
6.45.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Third
9247
#32
4.91.3
3.64.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.1
blue by 0.8
9690
#49
5.70.6
6.25.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed