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Red68
855717.6
815925.6
96258.1
Blue72
752217.0
877710.6
960926.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52470204060801001201406872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.1
23.124.2
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
blue by 1.2
26.82.3
23.025.3
Auto13.1
Teleop12.6
End1.1
Second
8557
#38
17.60.8
16.116.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
red by 0.5
7522
#18
17.02.3
11.914.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1
Third
9625
#36
8.10.8
7.48.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 2.4
8777
#19
10.62.3
8.310.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed