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Red55
75755.7
969217.0
744419.9
Blue24
94649.5
81735.5
698521.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39450102030506070805524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7444
#13
19.90.9
18.219.2
Auto9.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 1.1
21.01.4
20.318.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Second
17.01.3
13.614.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 7.5
9464
#31
9.52.1
11.59.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
7575
#33
5.71.3
4.45.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
red by 0.2
8173
#29
5.52.1
8.56.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed