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Red83
855717.6
744419.9
290524.9
Blue97
698521.0
752217.0
923119.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6854204060801001208397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.5
24.224.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 3.9
21.01.0
18.919.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Second
7444
#13
19.90.5
19.219.7
Auto9.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 0.5
19.41.0
17.318.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Third
8557
#38
17.60.5
16.817.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
red by 0.5
7522
#18
17.01.4
14.215.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1