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Red95
642923.3
815925.6
687411.0
Blue13
703512.2
81735.5
944710.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66300204060801001209513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
24.224.6
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 13.4
7035
#16
12.20.5
13.212.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Second
23.30.4
21.822.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 12.8
9447
#12
10.40.5
11.410.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
6874
#45
11.00.4
9.510.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
red by 5.5
8173
#29
5.50.5
6.55.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End-0.3