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Red82
821428.0
952312.9
960926.8
Blue72
698521.0
752217.0
923119.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7557020401001201408272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
27.327.7
Auto13.3
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 7.0
21.00.4
19.920.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Second
26.80.5
26.126.6
Auto13.1
Teleop12.6
End1.1
red by 7.4
19.40.4
18.318.7
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Third
9523
#26
12.90.5
12.112.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.7
blue by 4.2
7522
#18
17.00.5
15.516.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1