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Red71
687411.0
815925.6
642923.3
Blue75
969217.0
683825.0
767212.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64552040801007175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
24.625.0
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
red by 0.6
25.00.3
24.024.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End0.6
Second
23.30.4
22.322.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End0.8
red by 6.3
17.00.4
15.616.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
6874
#45
11.00.4
10.010.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
blue by 1.7
7672
#39
12.70.4
11.311.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End1.2