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Red33
82617.3
900113.9
88004.2
Blue30
69883.7
82096.9
94977.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273110204050603330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9001
#10
13.90.6
10.710.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 6.9
9497
#51
7.01.1
8.77.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End0.4
Second
8261
#39
7.30.8
7.06.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
red by 0.4
8209
#43
6.91.1
12.711.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Third
8800
#22
4.20.8
7.16.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End1.3
red by 0.5
6988
#46
3.71.1
6.35.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed