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Red61
812714.4
872524.8
87957.3
Blue3
90293.4
808414.4
94091.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44300206080100120613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#12
24.81.9
18.720.5
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
red by 10.4
8084
#40
14.43.1
12.19.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Second
8127
#27
14.42.0
11.413.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.7
red by 11.0
9029
#48
3.43.1
7.14.0
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Third
8795
#16
7.32.5
8.110.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.9
red by 6.2
9409
#50
1.13.1
9.46.3
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed