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Red15
902010.1
91329.3
91594.4
Blue109
805610.8
880630.4
805424.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274802040608010012015109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9020
#21
10.11.3
7.36.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 20.3
30.42.0
23.825.9
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Second
9132
#32
9.31.3
10.28.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 15.3
24.52.5
9.311.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Third
9159
#44
4.43.4
4.47.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.5
blue by 6.4
8056
#28
10.82.5
8.110.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed