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Red68
816916.6
645927.6
91741.6
Blue25
755110.8
757612.9
80799.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060801006825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.6
22.424.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
red by 14.7
7576
#11
12.91.7
13.712.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Second
8169
#20
16.60.9
14.215.1
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
red by 5.8
7551
#36
10.81.0
13.912.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Third
9174
#47
1.61.6
2.43.9
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.0
End0.6
blue by 7.6
8079
#14
9.21.7
7.35.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed