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Red88
94517.0
461336.2
601415.1
Blue51
95475.7
694132.5
94798.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47463040506070808851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.1
17.618.8
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
red by 3.7
32.50.6
29.630.2
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
Second
15.10.9
14.014.9
Auto10.4
Teleop4.2
End0.6
red by 7.1
9479
#26
8.11.9
8.19.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
9451
#41
7.03.3
7.010.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.8
red by 1.3
9547
#13
5.70.6
5.15.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed