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Red30
87995.7
805610.8
90293.4
Blue74
808414.4
763221.8
96478.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25460204060803074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8056
#28
10.80.8
9.18.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 11.0
7632
#30
21.81.1
22.323.4
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
8799
#45
5.70.8
11.911.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 8.7
8084
#40
14.41.6
9.010.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
9029
#48
3.40.8
4.03.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 5.2
9647
#31
8.71.1
7.99.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed