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Red67
461336.2
805810.8
76369.6
Blue28
880630.4
94977.0
88004.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643303540505560656728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.6
22.122.7
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
red by 5.8
30.41.2
25.324.1
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Second
8058
#18
10.80.6
9.310.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End0.7
red by 3.8
9497
#51
7.01.8
7.65.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End0.4
Third
7636
#17
9.60.4
9.810.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 5.4
8800
#22
4.21.8
6.44.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed