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Red42
757612.9
698517.2
95475.7
Blue22
64315.7
90435.0
755110.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3231102040504222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.1
14.015.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
red by 6.4
7551
#36
10.80.6
13.412.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Second
7576
#11
12.91.1
9.110.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 7.2
6431
#35
5.70.5
6.96.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Third
9547
#13
5.70.7
4.25.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End0.7
red by 0.7
9043
#37
5.00.5
8.88.3
Auto4.2
Teleop0.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed