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Red49
645927.6
902415.2
96257.0
Blue66
69883.7
87957.3
694132.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285702040801001204966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.0
10.612.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
blue by 4.8
32.50.2
32.432.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
Second
9024
#15
15.21.4
11.913.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End1.1
red by 7.9
8795
#16
7.30.4
10.310.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Third
9625
#23
7.02.0
6.28.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 3.3
6988
#46
3.70.4
5.25.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned