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Red19
80799.2
82096.9
96104.8
Blue23
698910.1
94517.0
902010.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33341020304050601923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8079
#14
9.21.5
9.27.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 0.9
6989
#24
10.11.9
13.711.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Second
8209
#43
6.91.5
11.710.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 3.2
9020
#21
10.11.9
6.04.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Third
9610
#49
4.81.5
9.47.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 2.2
9451
#41
7.01.9
10.28.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed