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Red27
812714.4
75704.6
96478.7
Blue76
805424.5
88004.2
461336.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34480102030406070802776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8127
#27
14.40.4
13.313.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.7
blue by 21.7
36.22.2
22.724.9
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
Second
9647
#31
8.70.4
9.08.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 15.9
24.52.2
14.216.4
Auto11.2
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Third
7570
#29
4.60.6
9.99.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.7
red by 0.4
8800
#22
4.22.2
4.66.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned