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Red70
857028.0
755110.8
880630.4
Blue49
694132.5
872524.8
94091.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57682040801001207049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.1
24.125.2
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 2.1
32.51.1
32.631.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
Second
28.01.9
16.418.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 3.2
8725
#12
24.81.1
22.621.5
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
Third
7551
#36
10.81.2
12.814.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 9.7
9409
#50
1.11.8
4.83.1
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed